The Inequality–Growth Nexus in Sudan: Insights from an ARDL Approach

Sous titre:

A paper by Mohamed Elhaj Mustafa (University of Khartoum), with the support of CEDEJ Khartoum

Nom de carnet:

Researching Sudan

Date de publication:

Mardi 10 Mars 2026 - 02:30

Publié ici :

10 Mars 2026

Mis à jour le :

12 Mars 2026

Langue de publication:

Anglais

Zone géographique:

Moyen-Orient

Source:

http://oai.openedition.org/?verb=ListRecords&metadataPrefix=oai_dc&set=blogs:cedejsudan

Can Sudan Grow While Inequality Rises?

Sudan stands at a crossroads. The country urgently needs economic growth to rebuild after decades of conflict, sanctions, and political instability, but it is trying to do so in a context of deep and persistent inequality. Understanding how these two forces interact is not just an academic question. It is central to whether recovery efforts will create broad‑based prosperity or reinforce the same divides that helped fuel past crises. As of 2025, with ongoing conflict exacerbating these issues, the stakes are higher than ever.

This study examines Sudan’s economy from 1980 to 2022 using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model to analyze both the short-run and long-run relationships among key economic variables. The study asks a simple but important question: does income inequality help or hinder economic growth in Sudan, both in the short run and over the long haul? The answer that emerges is clear. While inequality may appear harmless—or even mildly helpful—over very short horizons, it ultimately acts as a drag on long‑term growth in a fragile, low‑income country like Sudan.

Read the full article here.

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The Inequality–Growth Nexus in Sudan: Insights from an ARDL Approach

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The Inequality–Growth Nexus in Sudan: Insights from an ARDL Approach

Sous titre:

Nom de carnet:

Date de publication:

Publié ici :

Mis à jour le :

Langue de publication:

Zone géographique:

Source:

Visiter le site web

Autres billets du ou des carnets de l'IFRE

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